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May 2008

May 31, 2008

The Atlantic’s First Tropical Storm

Tropical Storm Arthur formed off the coast of Belize today (Saturday) to become the first tropical storm of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season. Arthur formed just one day before the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season (June 1st). As of 5PM MST, Tropical Storm Arthur had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. In order for a storm to be called classified as a tropical storm there must be sustained winds of 35 mph.

Arthur is currently located in the southern parts of the Yucatan Peninsula about 55 miles west of Chetumal, Mexico. Its projected path leads it across the southern part of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the southern portions of the Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to weaken into a tropical depression, but if it enters into the Gulf of Mexico there is a good chance it could regain the lost strength and become, once again, a tropical storm.

There are no threats for Tropical Storm Arthur to make landfall in the United States. However, Arthur is expected to be a rainmaker in Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula. These areas could see anywhere from 5 to 10 inches of rain and even local spots seeing upwards of 15 inches of rain. Governments in these countries are warning people of extreme flash floods and the potential for mudslides.

First Alert Intern

Dustin Pittman

May 30, 2008

NASA Shuttle Discovery Launch Blog

The Shuttle Discovery is set to launch on Saturday at 5:02 PM east coast time, which is 2:02 PM Arizona time.  The NASA Launch Blog that follows all the preparations for lift-off will open about 6 hours before launch.  Click here for the blog. 

On a side note, Mark Kelly, the Commander of this mission, is Congresswoman Gabrielle Gifford's husband.  The couple married last fall in at Agua Linda Farm in Amado, AZ. 

May 28, 2008

Start of Hurricane Season 2008

Here in Tucson we are gearing up for the start of the monsoon, but the citizens of the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coastal areas are preparing for the hurricane season.  According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the 2008 hurricane season begins June 1st. 

This year’s hurricane season is predicted to be above normal.  The Climate Prediction Center has stated that there is a 65% chance of an above normal season.  Forecasters’ predictions are based on the current weather patterns in the Atlantic and a look into when these conditions were present in the past.  By examining past seasons, they have predicted 12 to 16 named storms, including 6 to 9 hurricanes and 2 to 5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4, or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale).  A normal season consists of 11 named storms, 6 of these storms reaching hurricane strength (winds reaching 74 mph). 

Hurricaneconditions1

Here is a graphic of the expected conditions during the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season.  The area shaded in red is predicted to have reduced wind shear which allows hurricanes to last longer and have greater intensity.  The area of lower surface pressure favors hurricane development because a hurricane is an area of lower pressure so the lower the surface pressure, thus making it easier for a hurricane to develop.  The pink area predicts higher pressure in the upper atmosphere which will act as a blocking force to storms coming off of the western coast of Africa.  This results in storms being pushed farther south into the favorable African easterly jet which further pushes the developing storms westward across the Atlantic Ocean.  In addition to the African easterly jet, forecasters predict weaker Easterly Trade Winds.  This condition enhances a hurricane’s develop by not breaking up the rotation of the storm in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  Upper-level Easterlies that expand westward will only enhance the effect of the African Easterly Jet in directing the hurricane westward.  Finally, above normal sea surface temperatures over the past decade favor the development of a hurricane and enhance its strength as it travels westward.   

If you would like to read more about the 2008 hurricane season click here!

First Alert Intern

Dustin Pittman

 

May 27, 2008

CORONAL MASS EJECTION!

From:  Click Here for Original Article

May 27, 2008: Imagine a billion-ton cloud of gas launching itself off the surface of the sun and then ... doing a cartwheel. That's exactly what happened on April 9, 2008, when a coronal mass ejection or "CME" pirouetted over the sun's limb in full view of an international fleet of spacecraft. Even veteran solar physicists were amazed.

But that's not all. While one part of the cloud did a cartwheel, another part did a backflip at the same time. As strange as it sounds, this could be the normal way solar explosions unfold, say researchers analyzing the data.

"What a rare and exciting observation," says Ed DeLuca of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (CfA) who announced the findings at the American Geophysical Union meeting in San Francisco on May 27th. "It is showing us the secret inner workings of a process called 'magnetic reconnection' central to solar flares and CMEs."

A picture is worth a thousand words. Click on the image to set the scene in motion:

see caption

Above: A solar explosion spinning two ways at once. The cartwheel is particularly vivid in a high-contrast XRT movie: play it!

These videos reveal a billion tons of hot, magnetized gas twirling at speeds in excess of 1000 km/s. The cartwheel (left; recorded by the X-Ray Telescope onboard Japan's Hinode spacecraft) spins one way while the backflip (right; recorded by UV cameras onboard NASA's TRACE spacecraft) spins the other.

How can an explosion spin in two directions at once?

DeLuca explains: "We think we are seeing a twisted 'flux tube' of solar magnetism unfurl. One end of the tube spins clockwise, the other counterclockwise." This unfurling action pumps energy into the explosion, heating the CME and propelling it away from the sun.

To better understand the process, rummage through your desk and pull out a rubber band. Hold one side of the loop between the thumb and forefinger of your right hand; hold the other side of the loop with your left hand. Stretch the rubber band taut and start twisting (roll the rubber band between thumb and forefinger). The band becomes tight and knotted and filled with latent energy. Keep twisting, if you dare, until—crack!—the band ruptures, snapping back on your fingertips and making a nasty welt.

You've just simulated a solar flare at your desktop.

Magnetic flux tubes on the sun behave a lot like rubber bands, researchers believe. They get twisted and knotted and filled with latent energy, until—crack!—the field lines rupture, producing an explosion more powerful than a hundred million hydrogen bombs. Remember the rubber band untwisting as it hurtled back toward your fingertips? There you have the cartwheel and backflip, writ small.

The CME, however, was merely the beginning. "The really interesting developments came later," says solar physicist Leon Golub of the CfA. Hours after the initial blast, the ruptured magnetic flux tube began to heal itself. Rubber bands never do this trick, but magnetic fields do because, basically, Nature abhors a broken flux tube. Thanks to the high-resolution of Hinode's X-Ray Telescope, says Golub, "we have witnessed a phase of magnetic reconnection never before seen in such detail."

see captionThe healing process began with the formation of a tall X-ray spike jutting out of the blast site. "This is a current sheet seen edge-on," says Golub. Current sheets are where magnetic fields of opposite polarity meet and rejoin. Hinode's X-ray movie shows material left behind by the CME flowing back down into the region from above: click to play. The current sheet seems to guide the flow as the area reloads for possible future explosions.

Right: An X-ray snapshot of the post-eruption current sheet. Credit: Hinode XRT.

Spacecraft have recorded thousands of CMEs before, but this CME is giving up its secrets more readily than the others. Co-investigator Kathy Reeves of the CfA explains why:

"We were lucky. The solar flare was hidden just behind the limb of the sun; this eliminated the blinding flash so that Hinode could take long exposures of the fainter CME above."

How significant are the data? The CfA researchers are planning an entire workshop dedicated to the study of this one CME. They and others will bring together data from a fleet of spaceships including Hinode, TRACE, SOHO, STEREO and RHESSI to gain a more complete understanding of solar eruptions.

Their conclusions will go far beyond the sun, however. Magnetic reconnection is a process fundamental to many realms of astrophysics. "It happens in black holes, pulsars, active galactic nuclei, planetary magnetospheres—you name it," says DeLuca. "The sun is a great big laboratory where we can watch it happen."

And who wouldn't want to watch a billion-ton cartwheel? Stay tuned to Science@NASA for further developments.

May 26, 2008

Examining the Weather on Mars

Click here for the lastest Mars weather report. 

In addition to its search for water on Mars, the Phoenix Mars Lander will record the weather conditions on the Marian surface. Here is an article from the Phoenix Mars Mission off of the University of Arizona's website explaining how.

Meteorological Station (MET) built by Canadian Space Agency

Throughout the course of Phoenix surface operations, MET will record the daily weather of the martian northern plains using temperature and pressure sensors, as well as a light detection and ranging (LIDAR) instrument. With these instruments, MET will play an important role by providing information on the current state of the polar atmosphere and how water is cycled between the solid and gas phases in the martian arctic.

The MET's lidar is an instrument that operates on the same basic principle as RADAR, using powerful laser light pulses rather than radio waves. The lidar transmits light vertically into the atmosphere, which is reflected off dust and ice particles. These reflected light pulses and their time of return to the lidar instrument are analyzed, revealing information about the size of atmospheric particles and their location.

From this distribution of dust and ice particles, scientists can make important inferences about how energy flows within the polar atmosphere, important information for understanding martian weather. These particles also reveal the formation, duration, and movement of clouds, fog, and dust plumes, improving scientific understanding of Mars' atmospheric processes.

The very cold temperatures of the martian arctic will be measured with thin wire thermocouples, a technology that has been used successfully on meteorological stations for both the Viking and Pathfinder missions. In a thermocouple, electric current flows in a closed circuit of two dissimilar metals (chromel and constantan in the case of the MET) when one of the two junctions is at a different temperature. Three of these thermocouple sensors will be located on a 1.2 meter vertical mast to provide a profile of how the temperature changes with height near the surface.

Atmospheric pressure on Mars is very low and requires a sensitive sensor for measurement. Pressure sensors similar to those used on the Viking and Pathfinder missions will be part of the MET.

The Canadian Space Agency is responsible for overall development of the MET. The MET instruments will be built by the MD Robotics of Brampton, Ontario, with the support of Optech Inc. of Toronto for the development of the lidar.

First Alert Intern

Dustin Pittman

May 24, 2008

Have We Seen the Last of our Record Lows?

Over the past 50 years, the city of Tucson has grown at a remarkable rate. The city population has increased from 45,000 in 1950 to a little over 500,000 currently. The increase of buildings and concrete, as the city has grown, has caused a significant effect on our area's weather. It will be rare if not near impossible for the official temperature of Tucson to reach a record low ever again. This is caused by the "urban heat island" effect.

The urban heat island effect causes the urban area of a city (which consists of concrete and buildings) to be warmer than the surrounding areas at night. Think about it this way. Before people were here the dessert soil would heat up during the day and then cool off during the night. Concrete heats up during the day, but unlike soil does not cool off completely during the night. This will cause the areas above the concrete and buildings to be warmer than the areas above the soil.

What does this mean for Tucsonans? As the city continues to grow and concrete continues to replace soil it will become increasingly difficult for the nightly temperatures to cool down enough to break a record low set in the past. In the summer months it will be next to impossible to break a record low. According to John Glueck, from the National Weather Service of Tucson, the chance of breaking the all-time record low for the month of July is 1 in 6,215,204,907. Yes, 1 in 6 TRILLION!

If you would like to read more about the urban heat island effect click on the link below to John Glueck's article.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/wrh/08TAs/ta0810.pdf

First Alert Intern

Dustin Pittman

May 23, 2008

What's Your Favorite Place On Mars

Space.com created an interesting survey for you.  It scrolls through some of the most famous places on Mars and asks you to choose a favorite.  Click here to vote.  I like the Valles Marineris, the Grand Canyon of Mars, as space.com describes it.  I find the landscape and dramatic beauty of the Grand Canyon mesmerizing.  I would love to see the the Mars canyon in person!  - First Alert Meteorologist Erin Jordan

May 22, 2008

Make Your Own Phoenix Lander

You can make your own model of the Phoenix Mars Lander. One of the teams working on the mission created three different experiments that you can do with your kids.  One is easy for the younger kids.  The second is a bit more complicated and the third is the hardest one to build.  Each experiment comes with step-by-step instructions and a list of materials.  Click here for more information and You Tube video of an experiment. 

May 21, 2008

How The Phoenix Lander is Hunting for Martian Ice

The following article is from Jeremy Hsu at Space.com.

The Phoenix Mars Lander set to land Sunday may represent a clean slate for NASA's past failed or canceled Martian missions, but its technological lineage also resembles Frankenstein's monster.

The spacecraft will land on the red planet with baggage that includes a backhoe-like robotic arm, a miniature chemistry set, and a laser-guided weather station.

"Most of the instruments have heritage from other missions," said Michael Gross, Phoenix payload manager at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif.

Those heritage technologies developed for previous Mars missions such as Mars Surveyor Lander and Mars Polar Lander came in useful to outfit the $420 million Phoenix mission, which seeks to uncover the history of water on Mars by digging beneath the arctic surface. The spacecraft is set to land on May 25 on a six-month mission to determine whether the region may have once been habitable for primitive life.

Digging the Red Planet

However, Gross and other engineers had to remind themselves that Phoenix's new science mission came with new demands.

"We were counting on the heritage of the 2001 [Mars Surveyor Lander] arm, and we had to redesign the whole thing," Gross told SPACE.com. "There's a comfort level, but also pitfalls with heritage that you want to make sure you don't walk into."

The original robotic arm lacked the physical power to dig into the frozen Martian tundra, so engineers strengthened the joints and switched the arm material from aluminum to steel. They also replaced the original scoop with the Icy Soil Acquisition Device (ISAD), which has several tricks to deal with the ice-hardened layer beneath the looser regolith soil on the surface.

First the nearly eight-foot (2.3 meters) robotic arm uses a backhoe motion to clear away loose regolith and expose the icy layer. A blade on the front of the scoop can try a bit of scraping, but the real digging for ice samples requires a small drill in the back of the scoop.

The spring-loaded drill is sprung against the ground and turned on, rotating and grinding against the icy soil using the spring's pressure. Wrist movements push the loosened ice samples into a chamber for further testing.

"Within about a minute or so, it kicks a fair amount of material into the scoop or chamber," said Peter Smith, Phoenix principal investigator at the University of Arizona, Tucson. Smith added that the drill would do its excavation two or three times.

The robotic arm also has scraper blades on the bottom that can clear away material and continue tearing up the icy regolith, Gross said. The arm can dig down as far as 20 inches (0.5 meters), the deepest that anyone has gone on Mars.

Tasting Mars

Once Phoenix secures samples, it breaks out the first-ever wet chemistry lab on Mars. The Microscopy, Electrochemistry, and Conductivity Analyzer (MECA) allows scientists to analyze loose regolith soil for levels of acidity, minerals, and conductivity, using single-use beakers the size of teacups where Martian soil dissolved in water can be soaked, stirred, and measured.

MECA will also use atomic-force microscopes that can examine the Martian soil down to 10 nanometers, or 10,000 times thinner than a sheet of paper — the smallest scale ever examined on Mars. Signs of clay or other material in the loose regolith could indicate the past presence of water.

Another MECA instrument can detect any lingering wetness in the regolith soil, and examine how heat changes within the soil. The thermal and electrical conductivity probe resembles a spiked "knuckle" that the robotic arm can dig into the excavated area.

"The upper surface stuff done by MECA can look through the dry environment for remnants of water," Gross said. "TEGA [Thermal and Evolved Gas Analyzer] will actually look for the water."

The robotic arm will feed soil and ice into eight TEGA ovens, each the size of a ballpoint pen ink cartridge. The one-use ovens can then slowly heat the samples up to 1,000 degrees C (1,800 degrees F), which allows scientists to measure and analyze any changes from solid to liquid to gas. The TEGA tool also contains a new spectrometer that can sniff heated gases for their chemical signature.

With six months to study Mars and only a limited number of ovens and beakers, Phoenix researchers plan to take extra care in choosing exactly which bits of Martian soil and ice to test.

"It's called negotiation," Smith has said. "We'll get in a room and we'll negotiate. If it comes up to me, I'll make the decision."

Most of the Phoenix mission's new technology rests in the Meteorological Station (MET), which can bounce powerful laser pulses off dust and ice particles in the Martian atmosphere. The reflected pulses will provide information about the atmospheric particles.

The combination of old technology and newer instruments required a lot of "system engineering making sure everything would play together," Gross noted. But the proud international heritage of instruments from the United States, Canada, and Germany will hopefully help Phoenix hit Martian pay dirt after its descent.

"Once it lands, it doesn't end," Gross said.

May 20, 2008

Weather for the Upcoming Mars Landing

This Sunday at 4:38 PM the Phoenix Mars Lander will drop down on the Martian surface. Has anyone ever thought of what the weather conditions will be at this time? It turns out that the surface conditions are quite brutal on the Martian terrain. The temperature ranges from -90 degrees to -154 degrees on any given day with a consistent breeze of 20 miles per hour. Conditions like this on Earth are only found in the bitter regions of Antarctica during the winter. So if you are planning a trip to Mars in the near future you may want to visit Antarctica before you take off! 

First Alert Intern

Dustin Pittman